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UK new car market dips

5th March 2025

MG HS was best-selling new car in Wales in February 2025.

Robin Roberts (and WheelsWithinWales) writes… Wales saw the steepest decline in UK for new car registrations last month.

Coming immediately before the new 25-plate this month, registrations in Wales were 13.16% down on the same month last year.

Total registrations in Wales in February were 2,323 new cars and that contributed to a 11.91% drop through the first two months of 2025.

The UK new car market dipped in February, down -1.0% to 84,054 units, according to the latest figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders. 

In what is usually the smallest month of the year (accounting for only around 4% of annual volumes), February was the fifth consecutive month of decline, with a -4.0% reduction in fleet registrations – which have driven previous market growth. Private registrations rose by 4.6% to slightly increase overall market share to 35.6%, while the much smaller business sector rose by 3.3%.

EV registrations driven by heavy manufacturer discounting and pushed sales into business continued to grow with pure battery models up 41.7% to 21,244 registrations while plug-in hybrid cars rose 19.3% and hybrid cars nosed up 7.9%.

A quarter of new cars registered were electrified as the tax system will see them paying new VED rates for the first time if registered from 1 April, so any EV taxed this month will escape the new tax for 12 months.

Current EV owners who pay no tax have been advised to pay for the next 12 months before the end of March to get a final 12 months free of VED tax.

Despite the rise in EV registrations last month it still means the industry will fall short of the 28% target projected for 2025 and manufacturers face hefty fines if they don’t reach this level so are restricting petrol and diesel sales as a result.

From 1st April the punitive Expensive Car Supplement will add £2,125 over six years to the cost of BEVs with a list price above £40,000. 

Relative to the rest of the market, BEVs are disproportionately affected as higher production costs meaning the average BEV retails above the ECS threshold, a threshold which remains unchanged since its introduction in 2017 and the industry through the SMMT wants to see this ceiling raised to maintain the move towards BEVs.

Manufacturers have already underwritten the transition to the tune of more than £4.5 billion in discounts over the last year alone – on top of the billions invested in developing and bringing the vehicles to market.

Such industry support is unsustainable which is why the current ZEV Mandate must arrive at measures which afford greater market flexibilities, incentivise private purchases, and both encourage and facilitate a faster rollout of charging infrastructure.

Mike Hawes, SMMT Chief Executive said, “Although February’s figures show a subdued overall market, the good news is that electric car uptake is increasing, albeit at huge cost to manufacturers in terms of market support.

“It is always dangerous, however, to draw conclusions from a single month, especially one as small and volatile as February. With the all-important March number plate change now upon us, and tax changes taking effect in April that will, perversely, dissuade EV purchases, we expect significant demand for these new products next month – but, long term, EV consumers need carrots, not ever more sticks.”

Top registrations

Wales

MG HS

Volvo XC40

Kia Sportage

Peugeot 2008

Vauxhall Corsa

Peugeot 3008

Ford Puma

Nissan Juke

Vauxhall Mokka

Nissan Qashqai & VW Golf

UK

MINI

Tesla 3

Tesla Y

VW Golf

VW Tiguan

Nissan Juke

Nissan Qashqai

Kia Sportage

Volvo XC40

Ford Puma

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Categories: News & Views, Robin Roberts Tags: UK new car sales decline

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